Power Surge 2.6

Power Surge 2.6

Volume 2, Issue 6
November 7, 2016 – November 13, 2016
Jason Mulderrig | Anushka Dasgupta | Devorah Saffern


Trump:
If Trump Didn’t Hate Wind Power, He’d Love Vestas                                                                                                                                                                                                     https://www.bloomberg.com/gadfly/articles/2016-11-08/if-donald-trump-did-not-hate-wind-power-he-would-love-vestas
November 8, 2016 | Chris Bryant                                                                                                                      If you’re a renewable energy enthusiast, this week’s events likely hit you hard. In need of a little cheering up? This snarky editorial argues that wind energy, for one, is no longer the underdog of the energy sector. Take Vestas Wind Systems, a Danish company which is the largest wind turbine producer in the world. Company stock owners, doubting the future of wind farm investment in the U.S., sold so furiously that Vestas saw a 7% decline in stock prices on Tuesday. After all, a company which depends solely on wind turbine sales for revenue is subject to the ups and downs of regulation and federal incentives. However, much of Vestas’ revenue actually comes from the long-term maintenance of existing installations, a much steadier source of income. In keeping its business model streamlined and contract-based, Vestas has managed a 1,900 percent return since its lowest stock prices in 2012. Meanwhile, the wind industry has recently benefited from using big turbines and better energy transmission, and is already cost-competitive with coal and gas-fired plants in parts of Europe. The wind energy industry is unlikely to receive lots of subsidies and support under President Trump. Then again, it might not even need it. -AD

Trump Can’t Stop the Energy Revolution                                                                                                                                                                                                 https://www.bloomberg.com/gadfly/articles/2016-11-09/trump-cannot-halt-the-march-of-clean-energy
November 9, 2016 | Chris Bryant                                                                                                                     This Bloomberg article is a well-written reminder that the renewable energy industry will still continue to be a viable industry in the years to come, while the coal industry will continue to struggle. This purely comes down to economics. Even though the new president-elect has pledged to cut coal regulation and the Clean Power Plan, the levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) for renewables is still projected to become less than the LCOE for coal and begin to be consistently competitive to the LCOE of natural gas in the coming years due to falling equipment costs and tax credits. With tax credits for renewables, particularly solar and wind, backed by bipartisan support, it is unlikely these tax credits will be repealed in the near future. Given all of these factors, it seems that the renewable energy industry will give the coal industry a fair fight in the next four years. For more information about this subject, read another Bloomberg article here regarding the future of Tesla and energy at large: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-11-11/tesla-s-future-in-trump-s-world -JPM


Energy Policy:
Rule Would Boost Solar and Wind Energy on Public Lands                                                                     http://www.usnews.com/news/business/articles/2016-11-10/rule-would-boost-solar-and-wind-energy-development
November 10, 2016 | Mary Jalonick and Matthew Daly                                                                                                                                     Over one fifth of greenhouse gas emissions come from development on government owned lands, and the Obama administration just declared on Thursday a plan to change that. The Interior Department declared a new project that will enable leasing of public land to be used for more renewable energy sources. These energy programs to be approved under this ruling will produce 20,000 megawatts of power before 2020, on hundreds of thousands of land acres in various states, specifically in places where there would be a lesser effect on the environment. While environmental organizations are excited by the prospect, industrial groups are reviewing the rule, concerned about the economic effects. The hope is that this rule, when implemented, will bring about cleaner and more effective solar power while creating jobs. -DS


Oil and Gas:
Big Oil Slowly Adapts to a Warming World                                                                                                                                                                                  http://www.nytimes.com/2016/11/03/business/energy-environment/big-oil-slowly-adapts-to-a-warming-world.html?ref=energy-environment
November 3, 2016 | Clifford Kraus                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     There is a tendency among proponents of renewable energy to vilify the oil and gas industry. While that viewpoint is not without reason – for example, ExxonMobil has been accused of covering up evidence of climate change resulting from carbon emissions – it is also somewhat narrow-minded. This article takes a broader look at the role of oil and gas in a world increasingly conscious of dwindling resources and climate change. Even if the new presidency bolsters oil production for some time, the oil industry is currently over-supplying demand. Oil companies have already begun to invest in carbon sequestration, geothermal energy, and biofuels. More commonly, they are looking to natural gas as a “cleaner” but cost-efficient energy source. The current energy grid will take time to transition, and even a world running entirely on renewables will need the cooperation of oil and gas companies to get there. They, too, have an important role to play. -AD

Energy Company Looking to Strike Oil on Bears Ears’ Doorstep                                                                                                                                                                               http://www.sltrib.com/home/4554899-155/energy-company-looking-to-strike-oil
November 10, 2016 | Brian Maffly                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                EOG Resources, one of the biggest independent oil and gas companies in the U.S., is planning to drill three wells on the land surrounding the historic town of Bluff, Utah, to search what they believe may contain a valuable hydrocarbon-filled oil resource. The Utah Division of Oil, Gas and Mining granted permission to EOG to do so on state owned land, last May. One of the wells is to be drilled on the location of an archeological site that will potentially be added to the National Register of Historic Places. President Obama is also supposed to soon announce whether the areas around Bears Ears Buttes and Cedar Mesa will be set aside for a Utah monument. Locals are concerned that industrializing the area will ruin the scenic views and the town’s water source, in the event that the drilling accidently result in a spill. EOG is facing pressures from SITLA (School and Institutional Trust Lands Administration), which owns parts of the land, to drill or the company will have to pay a penalty. These potential plans pose real risks to the tourist economy of the town as well as the land itself. -DS


Solar and Storage:
Power Couple: Tie-Up Shows How Batteries and Solar May Link                                                                                                                                                                                http://www.nytimes.com/2016/11/07/business/energy-environment/tesla-solarcity-merger-shows-how-batteries-and-solar-may-link.html?ref=energy-environment&_r=0
November 7, 2016 | Diane Cardwell                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     On November 17, shareholders will vote to approve Tesla’s acquisition of SolarCity. According to Elon Musk, the motivation for the merger came when SolarCity and Tesla began to engage in several large scale solar-storage projects, and realized that the approval and construction process could be streamlined if the companies joined forces. Many people are skeptical that the merger will go successfully because both companies have suffered severe losses this past year and such a merger may put too much strain on Tesla just as Tesla is set to engage production in its Gigafactory. That last point is crucial because reduction in solar-storage projects will have to come from reduced battery prices. And, if everything goes smoothly with the Gigafactory, battery prices will not drop for a few more years at best. Keep an eye out for the shareholders’ decision. -JPM

Power Surge 2.5

Power Surge 2.5

Volume 2, Issue 5
October 17, 2016 – November 6, 2016
Jason Mulderrig | Anushka Dasgupta | Devorah Saffern


Energy Policy:
New Air Quality Rules Have Dramatically Changed the Demand Response Resource Mix                                                                                                                                                                                                     https://www.greentechmedia.com/articles/read/air-quality-rules-change-the-demand-response-mix
November 3, 2016 | Olivia Chen                                                                                                                        Behind-the-meter generation systems are being used less frequently for demand response programs ever since the EPA (Environmental Protection Agency) began to regulate the use of reciprocating internal combustion engines (RICE) due to the air toxics and pollutants produced. Since the EPA added these rules in May 2016, organizations such as PJM and MISO (Midcontinent Independent System Operator) have been using significantly less RICE generators, clear from the recent GreenTech Media’s U.S. Wholesale DER Aggregation Report. PJM has turned to using a majority of natural gas resources, with less diesel generators, in their recent delivery.  The California Public Utilities Commission also plans to decrease their use of fossil fuel backup generators in their demand response programs, in an attempt to maintain carbon-free systems. -DS

The Historic Paris Climate Change Agreement Just Became International Law                                                                                                                                                                                                    http://www.pri.org/stories/2016-11-05/historic-paris-climate-change-agreement-just-went-effect
November 5, 2016 | Agence France-Presse                                                                                                                           On Friday, the UN established the Paris Agreement as binding international law. The Agreement, edited and endorsed in Paris last December at the UNFCCC (United Nations Climate Change Conference), seeks to lower global temperature increase and greenhouse gas emission rates. 97 parties from the UNFCCCratified the Agreement, above the 55 needed for this to take effect. To effect these changes, companies may need to limit burning of coal, oil and gas and to look to more eco friendly resources that use less carbon. The recent push from the UN is because of the increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide levels in the past year, seen in recent reports. The International Energy Agency predicts that a 40% increase in energy sector spending will become necessary in order to produce the new technology. -DS


Thermal Energy:
Iceland drills hottest hole to tap into energy of molten magma                                                                         https://www.newscientist.com/article/2109872-iceland-drills-hottest-hole-to-tap-into-energy-of-molten-magma/
October 21, 2016 | Fred Pearce                                                                                                                                      Iceland has long been a leader when it comes to renewable energy – about 99% of its electricity is generated from renewables, with over a quarter of that coming from geothermal sources. Conventional geothermal relies on hot springs, reached by drilling through rock layers, to power pumps and heat water. A new project will go one step further by drilling into lava flows at a plate tectonic boundary, in the hopes of reaching seawater that’s been heated to temperatures between 800 and 1200 F. In fact, researchers expect temperature and pressure conditions extreme enough to generate supercritical steam. In previous issues of the Power Surge, we’ve discussed the beauty of supercritical steam, which is easily manipulated with small changes in temperature and improves generator efficiency by operating at high pressures. Boreholes with supercritical steam could improve power plant capacity by an order of magnitude, and the Iceland Deep Drilling Project anticipates drilling the hottest hole yet. -AD


Oil and Gas:
How Eni Bet Big and Won Big on Natural Gas off Egypt                                                                                                                                                                                     http://www.nytimes.com/2016/10/19/business/energy-environment/how-eni-bet-big-and-won-big-on-natural-gas-off-egypt.html?ref=energy-environment&_r=0&mtrref=www.nytimes.com
October 19, 2016 | Stanley Reed                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     In a matter of eight years, the Italian oil company Eni has gone from a midplayer in the oil industry to a bigtime player thanks to several major oil and natural gas finds made by the company worldwide. In fact, Eni has discovered the most oil and gas in volume in the past decade in the oil industry. These finds were orchestrated by Claudio Descalzi, who became responsible for exploration and production for Eni in 2008. Immediately, Descalzi invested his resources into exploration over buying into other oil companies to keep production up. In particular, he built up a massive computing center in Italy, and hired computer scientists to analyze its big data. The analysis from the computing center has been the key factor behind the recent finds for Eni. As a result of its big data analysis, Eni has become revolutionized as a company and has found oil where other companies doubted oil would be found. -JPM

Saudi Arabia’s Energy Minister Warns of Oil Shortage                                                                                                                                                                                  http://www.wsj.com/articles/saudi-minister-sees-end-of-oil-price-slump-1476870790
October 19, 2016 | Benoit Faucon and Kevin Baxter                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Last week, London hosted the Oil and Money conference, where speakers discussed the future of an oil industry that is just emerging from a two-year slump. In a highly anticipated talk, Saudi Arabia’s energy minister, Khalid al-Falih, predicted an oil shortage and a rise in prices due to new dynamics in supply and demand. He points to energy companies’ drastic cuts in spending during the slump, and has promised his nation’s assistance in averting a shortage, although Saudi Arabia has already upped its oil production in recent years. Officials from ExxonMobil disagreed with Mr. al-Falih’s premise, indicating that U.S. oil and natural gas production will supplant any shortage in the world oil supply. In the meantime, Saudi Arabia continues to attempt a regulation of oil production through OPEC. -AD

After Lean Years, Big Oil May Emerge Stronger Than Ever                                                                                                                                                                              http://www.nytimes.com/2016/10/19/business/energy-environment/after-lean-years-big-oil-may-emerge-stronger-than-ever.html?ref=energy-environment&mtrref=www.nytimes.com
October 19, 2016 | Nelson D. Schwartz                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                After the past two years of oil price crash and ensuing price volatility, big oil companies are finally starting to financially stabilize and look towards strong profit making again. Several factors are behind this. First, oil prices are stabilized at $40 per barrel and are poised to slowly but steadily rise in the next few years. Second, big oil companies have become more efficient with their operations and reduced their exploration and production costs as a result of the crash of the past two years. Third, the growing global middle class will keep oil demand high. And fourth, big oil companies bought smaller firms that struggled during the past two years, and are poised to put those cheaply acquired resources to use. If oil prices do not blow up in volatility again in the near future, then Big Oil is poised to emerge better than ever from the past two years. -JPM